La Liga · resolved market
Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77847e3f1f172e523806c9b1f21507ff14ad2b9c127615bbd76091061f5956d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 143.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 127.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 40c | 114.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 893 | 50.1%447 W · 446 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 100.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 100.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 48.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,087 | 50.6%550 W · 537 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…68e4backed Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 44.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 61c | 40.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…4458backed Over | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 65c | 22.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 61c | 18.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5this page
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Under won
- Córdoba CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Córdoba CF (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.