Lol · resolved market
LoL: BRUTE vs EXILE esports (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ae1becf0dcb47e60fa8298b37f332ee392f1d2b95b3e846084594db78a5f54d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BRUTEof BRUTE, EXILE esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked BRUTE | 75c | 1,764$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.41 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed BRUTE | 72c | 1,177$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.49 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed EXILE esports | 28c | 1,127$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.42 | 259 | 52.9%137 W · 122 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed BRUTE | 74c | 976.43$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed EXILE esports | 26c | 960.05$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed EXILE esports | 2c | 934$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed EXILE esports | 25c | 900$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed BRUTE | 76c | 779.39$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked BRUTE | 75c | 607.21$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed EXILE esports | 24c | 499$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed BRUTE | 78c | 247.77$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed BRUTE | 75c | 207.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c6…3d1ebacked EXILE esports | 29c | 173.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked EXILE esports | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked EXILE esports | 29c | 118.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed EXILE esports | 20c | 100.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BRUTE | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BRUTE | 71c | 91.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked EXILE esports | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…a2fbbacked EXILE esports | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…6764backed EXILE esports | 25c | 59.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed EXILE esports | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BRUTE | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BRUTE | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked BRUTE | 65c | 31.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked BRUTE | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed BRUTE | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…76a8backed BRUTE | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed BRUTE | 74c | 13.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.