Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Selena Janicijevic vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b05124ce326e51df1b267f2eddbe8167986f3a50317250341d8d99c77bfe002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gorgodzeof Janicijevic, Gorgodze
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Janicijevic | 2c | 6,950$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Janicijevic | 40c | 2,523$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Janicijevic | 2c | 2,362$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed Janicijevic | 10c | 1,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Janicijevic | 17c | 1,920$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gorgodze | 75c | 1,038$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Gorgodze | 70c | 715.51$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Janicijevic | 11c | 555.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Janicijevic | 8c | 457.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Gorgodze | 63c | 381.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Janicijevic | 11c | 312.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Janicijevic | 13c | 192.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gorgodze | 59c | 190.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gorgodze | 76c | 170$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Janicijevic | 15c | 160.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Gorgodze | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Janicijevic | 40c | 100.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gorgodze | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Gorgodze | 63c | 99.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gorgodze | 62c | 80.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Janicijevic | 38c | 80.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Gorgodze | 59c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Gorgodze | 58c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Janicijevic | 23c | 69.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Gorgodze | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Janicijevic | 38c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Janicijevic | 37c | 53.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Janicijevic | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Gorgodze | 65c | 50.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Janicijevic | 38c | 47.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Gorgodze | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gorgodze | 76c | 20.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Gorgodze | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Gorgodze | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Gorgodze | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Gorgodze | 63c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.