South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1503347c31c5e3bb932a8a50afd4060f5bc538b16a471549d255d35e75a5ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,033$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 63c | 1,702$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.66 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 850.34$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 63c | 620$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 47c | 572.35$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 534.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.54 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 64c | 471.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 37c | 370.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 61c | 264.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 36c | 255.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…33c0backed Over | 63c | 250.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 226$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 63c | 179.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 116.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 86.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 46c | 85.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 69c | 77.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 54c | 56.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 46c | 46.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 54c | 46.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…9242backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 30.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…8ec6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.