Euroleague · resolved market
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b38f6b6483415bed7dd0982600209a691aa26e9f1a1a8ebfeb280012c549eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof Maccabi Tel Aviv, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 29c | 1,611$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.97 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 1,261$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.24 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 47c | 449.86$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.67 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243e…e295backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 53c | 376.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 34c | 338.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 51c | 172.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 146.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 49c | 145.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 53c | 140.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 62c | 128.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 93.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 92.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 84.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 50c | 80.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 52.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 46c | 39.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…ca63backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…5708backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.