Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b972ccd3ad1e4387429fca96feffc4ace4eaf54fb49184b8eec063a5bc3708d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,611$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,738$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.47 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…acddbacked Over | 75c | 999.77$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 713.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 78c | 410.26$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 19c | 312.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 70c | 265.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 74c | 245$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 174.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 131.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…6c1abacked Over | 50c | 104.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 50c | 44.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 42.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5this page
- Moreirense FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Moreirense FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- Moreirense FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.