Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
NC State vs. Syracuse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bab1b64dff58f880bd0e9fdcd26a62bdb75fac541b3ebf911352b9651322fd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuseof NC State, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89c9…9534backed NC State | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Syracuse | 49c | 3,462$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.68 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…8a51backed Syracuse | 50c | 564$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…6309backed Syracuse | 52c | 402$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Syracuse | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…e5cabacked NC State | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…5c08backed Syracuse | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…3049backed NC State | 50c | 165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…d7fdbacked NC State | 50c | 147$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…c8c5backed NC State | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…ca2fbacked Syracuse | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…3cfbbacked NC State | 50c | 131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f8…4f0fbacked NC State | 50c | 131$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Syracuse | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2426…9a9cbacked NC State | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…33d3backed NC State | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…e648backed NC State | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…1bafbacked Syracuse | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…e85abacked Syracuse | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x998d…461fbacked NC State | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Syracuse | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…516cbacked NC State | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…a46cbacked NC State | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…c572backed Syracuse | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…dd15backed Syracuse | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…d57fbacked Syracuse | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…e007backed Syracuse | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…6bb4backed NC State | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…6e97backed NC State | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…d09abacked Syracuse | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d9…3fd0backed NC State | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…b468backed NC State | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Syracuse | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…6c28backed NC State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…dff1backed NC State | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…539abacked NC State | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4f…0d85backed NC State | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…75a7backed Syracuse | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…0946backed NC State | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…5462backed NC State | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…9cd3backed Syracuse | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679b…28c4backed Syracuse | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…6c53backed NC State | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…c0f1backed Syracuse | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…b699backed NC State | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…572ebacked NC State | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…6cb3backed NC State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f05dbacked Syracuse | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.