Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Malmö FF win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb5efb25b141673cbab78e7e968e81bae677075894b64473d09eff2320f2e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 32c | 2,906$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.92 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,760$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…2523backed Yes | 32c | 1,473$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed No | 70c | 1,472$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,267$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 1,127$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.69 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 591.1$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.72 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 72c | 340.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 164.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…a584backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 61c | 128.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…0d78backed Yes | 31c | 100.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 72c | 100.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 32c | 74.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Yes | 67c | 59.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…5f7ebacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmö FF win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-23?No won
- Will Malmö FF vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.