CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc95aa00e47ec4789a209661b527cf3a8b72f55487a8b3e2be59bdcaa5390a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof BET-M 33, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71e3…a39abacked BET-M 33 | 0c | 29,566$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 6c | 1,741$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked BET-M 33 | 2c | 1,563$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked BET-M 33 | 6c | 1,257$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…851abacked BET-M 33 | 2c | 1,158$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BET-M 33 | 37c | 482$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BET-M 33 | 9c | 480.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Walczaki | 64c | 452.26$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed BET-M 33 | 26c | 376.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 10c | 319.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed BET-M 33 | 36c | 313.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed BET-M 33 | 36c | 276.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a9f8backed BET-M 33 | 13c | 251.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Walczaki | 64c | 250.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Walczaki | 64c | 233.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 33 | 7c | 227.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 11c | 206.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BET-M 33 | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked BET-M 33 | 7c | 197.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BET-M 33 | 7c | 158.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…033fbacked BET-M 33 | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BET-M 33 | 37c | 122.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked BET-M 33 | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 62c | 97.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed BET-M 33 | 35c | 84.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Walczaki | 62c | 64.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BET-M 33 | 37c | 45.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Walczaki | 64c | 44.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Walczaki | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Walczaki | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BET-M 33 | 36c | 39.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BET-M 33 | 38c | 33.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Walczaki | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Walczaki | 79c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…af28backed Walczaki | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Walczaki (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.