CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c075c57db926cef8b784686e8f5c2706326d8bb46474a5385b2041281d9883c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof UNiTY esports, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,773 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed UNiTY esports | 49c | 4,500$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.1 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 47c | 3,934$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.39 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Ares | 50c | 2,192$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked UNiTY esports | 56c | 634$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed G2 Ares | 14c | 512$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 Ares | 44c | 404.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNiTY esports | 54c | 397.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed G2 Ares | 47c | 251.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed G2 Ares | 47c | 212.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked G2 Ares | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 73.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 28c | 62.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed G2 Ares | 36c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed G2 Ares | 46c | 53.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed UNiTY esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…1679backed UNiTY esports | 50c | 22.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked UNiTY esports | 64c | 15.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.