CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35faaf9f9a81d0b81adc10682c9fc645e3ef5ea18b545c9adb59785c44ac4a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof UNiTY esports, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,730 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed G2 Ares | 52c | 4,598$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNiTY esports | 50c | 4,066$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 43c | 737.39$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked G2 Ares | 45c | 616.89$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed G2 Ares | 19c | 521.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 13c | 445.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 9c | 400.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNiTY esports | 75c | 399.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed G2 Ares | 6c | 390.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 Ares | 45c | 373.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed G2 Ares | 45c | 316.54$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked UNiTY esports | 35c | 298.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed UNiTY esports | 79c | 227.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed UNiTY esports | 22c | 226.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.03 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…6a7abacked G2 Ares | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 218.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 175.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked UNiTY esports | 79c | 167$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked G2 Ares | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 145$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed G2 Ares | 45c | 137$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed G2 Ares | 18c | 127.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed G2 Ares | 44c | 121$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNiTY esports | 15c | 110$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 107.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed G2 Ares | 45c | 105.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 99.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked UNiTY esports | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed G2 Ares | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed UNiTY esports | 15c | 76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked G2 Ares | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed G2 Ares | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed UNiTY esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…2788backed G2 Ares | 64c | 48.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 47.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked UNiTY esports | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3ff2backed G2 Ares | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed G2 Ares | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb324…4944backed G2 Ares | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed G2 Ares | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.