Champions League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c45c8acb710e044a53e648cc64ffb74ba70e79a6bbaafa927638c6315b2ac81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,022$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.28 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 23c | 800$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 741.08$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.78 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 538.44$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 1,141 | 35.4%404 W · 737 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 71c | 447.39$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 332.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 71c | 168.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 156.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 542 | 39.5%214 W · 328 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 17c | 144.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 68.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 465 | 33.8%157 W · 308 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Yes | 20c | 50.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 45.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…5599backed Yes | 71c | 45.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva leading at halftime?this page
- Sabah FK leading at halftime?No won
- Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.