Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cb69a5e7cf0cda2976dc807ecce5c59dae05c086c111d2ef5e4be4c21f68db3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 41c | 4,773$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.12 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 21c | 3,372$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.41 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 59c | 3,098$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.76 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 79c | 1,765$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.18 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 1,601$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,434$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 57c | 759.96$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.47 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 572.23$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 59c | 338$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 60c | 301.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 40c | 199.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 173.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 40c | 168.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 60c | 107.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…a0b8backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 40c | 59.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 27c | 55.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 42c | 53.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…2468backed Yes | 78c | 31.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…18e8backed Yes | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 60c | 27.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…c6d1backed Yes | 58c | 20.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will AVS Futebol vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.