CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Sangal (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cb77f538bb4c6d5f0b60dca9d08293acc2911da2777542f818f793b9869bb4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Tricked, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Tricked | 54c | 1,161$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.82 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Sangal | 60c | 1,054$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Tricked | 50c | 999.73$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 46c | 870.32$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sangal | 62c | 692.09$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Tricked | 56c | 525.94$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.53 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 50c | 473.74$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed Tricked | 41c | 468.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sangal | 61c | 439.96$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Tricked | 55c | 357.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Sangal | 60c | 326.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sangal | 38c | 311.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.94 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sangal | 46c | 302.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Tricked | 62c | 301.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Sangal | 44c | 261.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Sangal | 50c | 185.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Sangal | 50c | 151.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Tricked | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sangal | 58c | 128.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Tricked | 38c | 127.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…a614backed Tricked | 35c | 124.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tricked | 51c | 124.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4048…d4adbacked Tricked | 32c | 110.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c16fbacked Sangal | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sangal | 60c | 96.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sangal | 37c | 83.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Tricked | 63c | 77.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Tricked | 43c | 67.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…4b1cbacked Sangal | 43c | 67.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Sangal | 36c | 60.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tricked | 31c | 57.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tricked | 58c | 50.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…02dbbacked Sangal | 62c | 46.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…a40abacked Tricked | 56c | 43.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Tricked | 62c | 39.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…e35abacked Tricked | 62c | 38.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Tricked | 37c | 33.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sangal | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sangal | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Sangal | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Tricked | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Tricked | 66c | 27.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…e3bbbacked Sangal | 74c | 25.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5572backed Tricked | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Sangal | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Tricked | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sangal | 74c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…c21ebacked Tricked | 79c | 14.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.