South American Leagues · resolved market
Orense SC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cbe0a73036cdf8a0926abfb03722b8e1d3fdf465fa47e9fc267cad0e1a4a44d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 40c | 4,955$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 4,787$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 1,713$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 25c | 670.29$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 69c | 600.04$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 554.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 232.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 40c | 191.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 54c | 170.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 58c | 90.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 62c | 70.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 59.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 63c | 41.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 29c | 38.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 36c | 30.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 18.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orense SC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5this page
- Orense SC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Orense SC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orense SC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)Orense SC won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)Orense SC won
- Spread: Orense SC (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.