CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Minkens finest (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0614f11790970a2ce0ee5c5a9a6e23bc50ce5a02f75318544d2fce6950c1bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gatorianof Gatorian, Minkens finest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Gatorian | 79c | 4,315$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.23 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Minkens finest | 15c | 2,216$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.56 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Minkens finest | 33c | 1,468$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.12 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Minkens finest | 29c | 417.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minkens finest | 14c | 405$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Minkens finest | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Minkens finest | 16c | 307.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Minkens finest | 18c | 284.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Minkens finest | 22c | 255$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Minkens finest | 18c | 235.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Minkens finest | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minkens finest | 9c | 159$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Minkens finest | 9c | 105.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minkens finest | 14c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Gatorian | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Gatorian | 78c | 43.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Gatorian | 65c | 19.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Gatorian | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.