Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0d9dccc28d6ca85e47735fd89e8a9264ba08a05d85bbda6eb54d3a36c80b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michigan Eaglesof Kent State Golden Flashes, Eastern Michigan Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 3,223$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.86 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 3,203$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 2,092$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.93 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 522.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 115.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 46c | 89.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 51c | 78.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 47.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 45.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 36.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 49c | 22.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-9.5)this page
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Kent State Golden FlashesKent State Golden Flashes won
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 144.5Over won
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-10.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.