Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d0de186da8598d9c5f801b722b2798e6514f22e94590a3334c979b0e6599ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,387 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,609$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,097$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 8c | 1,096$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 774.05$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 747.78$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 10c | 585.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 514.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 29c | 445$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 5c | 430.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 29c | 396$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 76c | 298$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 24c | 282.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Yes | 29c | 208.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 197.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 175$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 23c | 159.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 149.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 146$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 27c | 129.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 89.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Yes | 18c | 69.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…bc86backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 30c | 66.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 61.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 43.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 33.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed No | 73c | 27.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed No | 75c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 23.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?this page
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.