CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d10055e7932b4adc0f8ca4a57a521e57db5ebe08e97e791767b244dba02b635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Imperial, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yawara Esports | 20c | 2,641$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.97 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Imperial | 80c | 2,088$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.13 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Imperial | 70c | 1,204$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.01 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Imperial | 54c | 1,099$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.21 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 23c | 779.36$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.72 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 636.87$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 558.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.91 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 445.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yawara Esports | 28c | 419.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Imperial | 80c | 247.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yawara Esports | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked Imperial | 80c | 228.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6284…353cbacked Imperial | 79c | 153.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9e…41b5backed Imperial | 77c | 147.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Imperial | 79c | 143.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Imperial | 80c | 135.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 107.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Imperial | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Imperial | 80c | 99.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Yawara Esports | 26c | 82.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…987dbacked Imperial | 77c | 77.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Imperial | 80c | 56.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Imperial | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…7814backed Imperial | 71c | 45.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed Imperial | 56c | 41.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 40.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Imperial | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Yawara Esports | 28c | 37.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 36.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Imperial | 72c | 31.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Imperial | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Imperial | 76c | 18.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Imperial | 59c | 18.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Imperial | 77c | 14.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.