CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d1385feb07f9ae0b561fb4672964156fc32b4ffb4949450107dbb35e94aac8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof paiN, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cfe…86a0backed paiN | 0c | 7,228$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked paiN | 58c | 3,436$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.56 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked largadosypelados | 42c | 3,090$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.05 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked paiN | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed largadosypelados | 43c | 1,593$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.1 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked largadosypelados | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed largadosypelados | 36c | 994.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.46 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked paiN | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed largadosypelados | 41c | 675.61$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.61 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed largadosypelados | 43c | 470.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed largadosypelados | 36c | 294.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked paiN | 59c | 241.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed paiN | 57c | 239.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.28 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked paiN | 57c | 215.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed paiN | 57c | 161.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed largadosypelados | 43c | 120.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked largadosypelados | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed paiN | 57c | 44.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked paiN | 57c | 39.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed paiN | 58c | 39.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked paiN | 58c | 35.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d98…1c46backed paiN | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America PlayoffspaiN won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.