CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da621f776baccfa11635bc3aca6da4169a1d76a9217ed71af0cca20e6b24323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 1WIN | 22c | 330.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed K27 | 70c | 171.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed K27 | 70c | 125.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked 1WIN | 25c | 112.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1WIN | 13c | 91.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed K27 | 73c | 83.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed K27 | 77c | 81.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed K27 | 61c | 63.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 1WIN | 33c | 58.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked K27 | 68c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 41c | 27.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked K27 | 67c | 19.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group AK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.