Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dbcab40221390b401306f81a4e36becfd6959e062c0a62b62bfef249e97fcd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof Team Heretics Academy, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked UCAM Esports Club | 39c | 3,082$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.94 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked UCAM Esports Club | 39c | 320$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed UCAM Esports Club | 30c | 240$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 177.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Team Heretics Academy | 62c | 137.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 38c | 106.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Heretics Academy | 72c | 86.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Heretics Academy | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5)UCAM Esports Club won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES PlayoffsTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.