Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Navone vs Nava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e2ecad1a69dd76c942d03936663006a13aa2ed46d325ba133e8fc8a4d703da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navoneof Navone, Nava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nava | 0c | 4,560$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nava | 14c | 157.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…1282backed Nava | 42c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…753bbacked Nava | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…58e2backed Navone | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Nava | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…23e5backed Navone | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…51c4backed Navone | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…ad1ebacked Navone | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…c756backed Navone | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Navone | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Navone | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e68ebacked Navone | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Navone | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed Navone | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked Navone | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Navone | 59c | 17.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…2325backed Navone | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Navone vs Navathis page
- Argentina Open: Mariano Navone vs Emilio NavaNavone won
- Navone vs. Nava: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.