TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Argentina Open: Mariano Navone vs Emilio Nava

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Navoneof Navone, Nava
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Nava13c80,689$10,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,705.3312533.6%42 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nava26c27,527$7,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,289.4665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Navone76c20,837$15,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,052.792,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nava16c11,484$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.781,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Navone68c5,461$3,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.113464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Navone71c3,490$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.3494355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Navone75c3,256$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.7981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…7d08backed Nava34c1,985$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf489…34d3backed Navone66c1,984$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nava27c1,717$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.594,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Nava35c1,520$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.8173453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Nava36c1,396$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.71,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nava32c978.61$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1678452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nava33c938$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.361,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Nava32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2884748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Nava34c624.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.361,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nava26c599$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.51,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Nava16c532$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.968445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Navone74c529.19$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.442,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nava32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Nava25c462.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2736032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Nava22c439.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.651,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nava30c436.97$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3849143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Navone68c420.32$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Navone77c390.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1347946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae56…8c22backed Nava14c363.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Navone65c360$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Navone66c346$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6415244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nava32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Nava25c312$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3615648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Nava33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Nava33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9942141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nava33c273$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.092,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Nava19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Nava26c262.41$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Navone77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.517867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Navone66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8510557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Navone67c223.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7852…9cb5backed Nava33c219$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ff…a453backed Navone67c218$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…2393backed Navone67c214$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…fd2abacked Nava33c213$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f02…1384backed Nava33c207$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…34cdbacked Navone67c206$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977c…759ebacked Navone67c204$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x043b…8f47backed Nava33c203$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Navone66c199.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9928747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Navone65c198.46$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4619653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Navone76c191.94$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9552037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nava8c186.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.157,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Nava29c178.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8632937.4%123 W · 206 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Nava26c176.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3593048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nava26c172$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Navone65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5647552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Nava31c143.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4310739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nava33c138.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.517,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Nava30c136.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.117941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6af…4619backed Navone66c130$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca27…78a0backed Nava34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Navone75c127.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.762,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eef…dc2ebacked Navone79c116.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.792281.8%18 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nava33c99.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.321,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Nava32c99.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.981,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8b…575ebacked Navone73c90$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Navone78c88.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Nava35c86.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1523126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6b…ad9fbacked Nava36c86.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf77…d66dbacked Navone66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766053.3%32 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Navone68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5330053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Nava37c69.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nava19c69.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.312,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Nava22c69.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2125147%118 W · 133 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nava22c68.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.183,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Navone79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Nava26c61.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1631941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…2584backed Navone67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72450%12 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Navone67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Nava34c59.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Nava35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Nava35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nava25c52.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.256,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…5942backed Navone65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c9…476dbacked Navone66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.458664%55 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Navone66c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Navone76c41.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.032,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa916…233fbacked Navone75c40.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb688…fcdbbacked Navone65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Navone63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6865949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Nava35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6560240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Nava34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2414949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Navone77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.368845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…11ffbacked Nava32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107650%38 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d35…7618backed Navone67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Navone68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.418767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d2…3c94backed Navone68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.412572%18 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b48…c530backed Navone68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.415066%33 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac0e…a151backed Navone68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Navone71c26.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.846,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e0…ad29backed Navone76c23.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.689470.2%66 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb16c…ed79backed Navone66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.