Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC København vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4a34cb75cc9d88f09355c9d4462b93f9020d0e2d8b25d8695b33ee28133e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 54c | 5,066$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 2,376$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.98 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 648.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 46c | 410.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.75 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 298.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 54c | 179.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 154$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 46c | 152.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 142.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 46c | 131.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 46c | 121.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 70.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 46c | 63.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 46c | 63.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 46c | 63.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 46c | 63.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 46c | 63.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 46c | 57.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 47c | 44.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 43.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 34c | 39.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 32.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 46c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 46c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed Under | 55c | 26.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC København vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC København vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.