TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Melser Kindergartenof 9z Team, Melser Kindergarten
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Melser Kindergarten66c1,010$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed 9z Team25c419.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0430147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Melser Kindergarten64c374.63$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1178562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed 9z Team41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed 9z Team26c197.51$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.689654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Melser Kindergarten73c180.88$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.461952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 9z Team34c135$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3426730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 9z Team16c124.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed 9z Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked 9z Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked 9z Team41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 9z Team34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed 9z Team40c98.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.312243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9z Team21c70.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.671,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed 9z Team41c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4714436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked 9z Team41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.246939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed 9z Team41c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.249438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Melser Kindergarten74c52.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.523043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e8…1830backed Melser Kindergarten68c52.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed 9z Team41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1211841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed 9z Team41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1212633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed 9z Team41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1215839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Melser Kindergarten59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4113336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ed…6584backed Melser Kindergarten71c16.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.911241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.