Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabbe81f479200569d267553688ee23c16cedb60f487b169f2937e5e48fae2165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9z Teamof 9z Team, Melser Kindergarten
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 9z Team | 55c | 642.61$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melser Kindergarten | 42c | 482.6$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Melser Kindergarten | 51c | 278.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.61 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 9z Team | 49c | 272.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Melser Kindergarten | 32c | 75.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked 9z Team | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed 9z Team | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 9z Team | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed 9z Team | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed 9z Team | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 9z Team | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed 9z Team | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Melser Kindergarten | 42c | 24.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 9z Team | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: ACE Masters Group A9z Team won
- Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.