Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Marozsan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb7149e8dae6998aefcb99921c4d2eecfab92c6b6366274fd63c475b09e9bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marozsanof Tirante, Marozsan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Marozsan | 61c | 821.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.31 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Tirante | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tirante | 41c | 500$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marozsan | 55c | 294.49$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Tirante | 47c | 199.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marozsan | 47c | 194.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Marozsan | 48c | 191.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Marozsan | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marozsan | 44c | 171.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Tirante | 47c | 124.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Marozsan | 55c | 106.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marozsan | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marozsan | 54c | 98.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tirante | 28c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Tirante | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tirante | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Tirante | 43c | 69.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Tirante | 59c | 66.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Tirante | 45c | 59.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marozsan | 54c | 59.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tirante | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Marozsan | 53c | 57.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tirante | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marozsan | 60c | 33.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Tirante | 45c | 33.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Tirante | 47c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tirante | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tirante | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marozsan | 65c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Marozsanthis page
- Set 3 Winner: Tirante vs MarozsanMarozsan won
- Set Handicap: Marozsan (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)Marozsan won
- Tirante vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian MarozsanFabian Marozsan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.