Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec3bd816a2328b6cb513cf874f033e0b2439e59df27c61133656bc9fbbb7168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof Eintracht Frankfurt, VfB eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked VfB eSports | 47c | 5,178$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.79 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked VfB eSports | 49c | 5,000$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.89 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 53c | 2,303$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.42 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 1,509$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.49 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 52c | 1,069$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.91 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 54c | 1,022$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.17 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…5ab6backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 960.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 888.24$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed VfB eSports | 45c | 800$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 710.44$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.12 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 53c | 566.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.7 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 542.57$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 55c | 304.34$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 54c | 298.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 52c | 217$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed VfB eSports | 44c | 184$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked VfB eSports | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed VfB eSports | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 54c | 38.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 51c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BEintracht Frankfurt won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.