Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba347c764083f839bbf254e5e369e28524506f52a3d0840fe6382bcd99aa7f70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof Eintracht Frankfurt, VfB eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8705…edbabacked VfB eSports | 25c | 1,330$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.6 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VfB eSports | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 72c | 552.08$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed VfB eSports | 8c | 494.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked VfB eSports | 28c | 452.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 400$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 250$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked VfB eSports | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked VfB eSports | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 61.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed VfB eSports | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BEintracht Frankfurt won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB eSports - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.