Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eed389fe463c88d354e33fc04f05ecacc4dd41271c25c156111cdf7bb79e161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 29,881$16,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,147.64 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 1,824$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.67 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 867.79$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 757.01$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.26 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 270.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 41c | 248.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 154.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 12c | 98.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 88.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 56c | 71.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 56c | 55.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 45.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 42c | 44.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 37.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-11-25?Yes won
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.