Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls State vs. New Orleans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f111bfcbaf29bf2015b7f7296709e4c8ba3e9180cf6b0654d8fd0e033834679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicholls Stateof Nicholls State, New Orleans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nicholls State | 80c | 486.16$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed New Orleans | 10c | 293.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Orleans | 20c | 275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked New Orleans | 14c | 234.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked New Orleans | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…2bcbbacked Nicholls State | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dd…412ebacked Nicholls State | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked New Orleans | 50c | 132$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked New Orleans | 19c | 126.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…25f5backed Nicholls State | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…e1c4backed New Orleans | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…cf46backed New Orleans | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…93c3backed New Orleans | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…5fa5backed New Orleans | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7834…19acbacked New Orleans | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…1872backed Nicholls State | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…5a08backed New Orleans | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…2970backed Nicholls State | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…5173backed Nicholls State | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…9c7dbacked Nicholls State | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb37…8b65backed New Orleans | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…ea39backed New Orleans | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcd…1083backed Nicholls State | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…1488backed Nicholls State | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…9798backed Nicholls State | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…64a6backed New Orleans | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…2dd5backed New Orleans | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4546backed Nicholls State | 79c | 26.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed Nicholls State | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…566dbacked New Orleans | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…2dd2backed New Orleans | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…09debacked Nicholls State | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.