CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f2206a34faaa19f6c599c3040297860f826f9399af4e0b7df0c2de33592cc79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,063 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG | 64c | 2,493$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.29 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed BIG | 66c | 2,280$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed K27 | 34c | 1,927$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.34 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed K27 | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 35c | 991.8$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed BIG | 63c | 899.98$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 48c | 604.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked K27 | 19c | 544.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 47c | 527$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BIG | 49c | 500$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 24c | 391.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed K27 | 22c | 250.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed K27 | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 39c | 222.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed BIG | 54c | 200.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed K27 | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BIG | 46c | 167.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed BIG | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed BIG | 65c | 154.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed K27 | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed K27 | 44c | 132.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed K27 | 38c | 131.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed K27 | 39c | 104.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked BIG | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked K27 | 47c | 77.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed K27 | 49c | 75.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked K27 | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked K27 | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed K27 | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed K27 | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked K27 | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed K27 | 37c | 54.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed K27 | 30c | 53.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked BIG | 63c | 44.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked K27 | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked BIG | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked K27 | 32c | 34.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed K27 | 51c | 31.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed K27 | 45c | 31.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed K27 | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed BIG | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed BIG | 64c | 20.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3c…41d6backed BIG | 58c | 20.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked BIG | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5770…41c0backed BIG | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed BIG | 64c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.