Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TESC (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f34c9ba5b40a3340ebb07fc962c5405af179ab0f414a383d880c477e0fd46d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saigon Warriorsof Top Esports Challenger, Saigon Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Saigon Warriors | 64c | 794.06$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Saigon Warriors | 68c | 697.85$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.33 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Top Esports Challenger | 37c | 571.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed Top Esports Challenger | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports Challenger | 30c | 324.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 35c | 296.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Saigon Warriors | 70c | 275.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Top Esports Challenger | 34c | 253.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Saigon Warriors | 66c | 144.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Top Esports Challenger | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Saigon Warriors | 70c | 99.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked Top Esports Challenger | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Top Esports Challenger | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Top Esports Challenger | 30c | 74.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Saigon Warriors | 70c | 74.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Saigon Warriors | 61c | 64.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Top Esports Challenger | 34c | 55.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Top Esports Challenger | 41c | 52.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Top Esports Challenger | 68c | 41.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Top Esports Challenger | 37c | 34.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Saigon Warriors | 66c | 32.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Saigon Warriors | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Saigon Warriors | 70c | 20.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Saigon Warriors | 63c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TESC (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance QualifierTop Esports Challenger won
- LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports Challenger won
- LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 WinnerSaigon Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.