Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f6673e2dec5ad18906df1735e583fccb7ea50f689ccd84ad3cb6d445d26ba45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 9,602$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.53 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,121$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 46c | 2,694$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 1,468$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.25 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 48c | 738.47$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.03 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 499.85$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.93 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 319.25$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 293.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 278.13$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.61 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 102.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 52c | 84.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 49c | 58.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 143.5this page
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsArkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions won
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (-10.5)Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.