Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fuego vs AB3 Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc5b22252e72dccc5f872d0727a11ca18759125478ab887f921262a4f66cf4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof Fuego, AB3 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fuego | 50c | 3,110$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.75 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed AB3 Esports | 50c | 1,500$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.64 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed AB3 Esports | 50c | 1,484$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.96 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4a…90f6backed AB3 Esports | 6c | 216.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed AB3 Esports | 34c | 206.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Fuego | 49c | 203.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed AB3 Esports | 51c | 168$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked AB3 Esports | 51c | 162.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…a300backed Fuego | 77c | 150.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fuego | 60c | 144.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed AB3 Esports | 51c | 143.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked Fuego | 49c | 130.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AB3 Esports | 33c | 124.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed AB3 Esports | 51c | 94.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Fuego | 49c | 86.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Fuego | 49c | 76.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked AB3 Esports | 50c | 71.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fuego | 54c | 55.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked AB3 Esports | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Fuego | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Fuego | 43c | 34.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked AB3 Esports | 34c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fuego | 64c | 30.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked AB3 Esports | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AB3 Esports | 49c | 24.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Fuego | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fuego vs AB3 Esports (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Fuego vs AB3 Esports - Map 1 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.