Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fff4b79468434a41d92549d9fd742e4a6ab474fedd10f200ade5afc281f59ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhengof Sierra, Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Zheng | 69c | 3,600$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.49 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sierra | 31c | 1,069$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sierra | 31c | 812.01$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zheng | 60c | 535$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sierra | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sierra | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sierra | 40c | 371$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sierra | 39c | 224$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sierra | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Sierra | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sierra | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Sierra | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Sierra | 31c | 97.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sierra | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zheng | 62c | 68.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Sierra | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Sierra | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sierra | 36c | 32.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Zheng | 62c | 32.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Zheng | 61c | 24.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Zheng | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs Zhengthis page
- Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen ZhengQinwen Zheng won
- Set 2 Winner: Sierra vs ZhengSierra won
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)Sierra won
- Solana Sierra vs. Qinwen Zheng: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.