CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20195c49421e20987da8c7efee3bf4ab7a940be3423b87f6521ca2f41b380301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 1,000$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.76 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 850$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 612.63$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 515$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fire Flux Esports | 26c | 224.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 175$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 166.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 84.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 80.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 344 | 62.2%214 W · 130 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group ABushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.