CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2299c76d82556abf438b91a6b92d1c1b82ebf14b38b129f57588d24d90c6448b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 1,569$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 1,552$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 1,451$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.96 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 1,187$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 816.35$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 720.64$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 709.4$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 17c | 478$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 469.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 336.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.71 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 323$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 14c | 297$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 19c | 285$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 282.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 270.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 227$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Fire Flux Esports | 21c | 205.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 203.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 178$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 175$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 168.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 164.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Fire Flux Esports | 10c | 161.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…b42bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 21c | 141.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 133.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 132$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports | 16c | 122$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 120.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 79.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…62dfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 72.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 67.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 52.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 47.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…c56bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 45.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 45.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 44.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Fire Flux Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 31.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 24.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…ce4bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 23.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…6e0fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.