Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Rinko Matsuda vs Ekaterina Maklakova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2052388c0ffe014823e33d22e993bd7d13536085cdc24ae4bc4796852b22f6c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rinko Matsudaof Rinko Matsuda, Ekaterina Maklakova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c50…d6ebbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 18c | 2,211$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.39 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Rinko Matsuda | 40c | 999.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.52 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 1c | 963.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…b743backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 26c | 708.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 20c | 403.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 62c | 401.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rinko Matsuda | 74c | 277.12$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rinko Matsuda | 75c | 220$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rinko Matsuda | 75c | 157$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Rinko Matsuda | 79c | 143$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 234 | 51.7%121 W · 113 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 20c | 101.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Rinko Matsuda | 76c | 66.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 61c | 54.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 60c | 49.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 32c | 46.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Rinko Matsuda | 70c | 46.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Rinko Matsuda | 66c | 43.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rinko Matsuda | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Ekaterina Maklakova | 59c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Rinko Matsuda | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Zhengzhou: Rinko Matsuda vs Ekaterina Maklakovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Matsuda vs MaklakovaMatsuda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.