Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2094b6e12a52551ddc140849c6f38b42a5b9ffdb7b6ed6816fce094ab6ecbbb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 18,674$9,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,963.57 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 55c | 14,160$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.7 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 12,248$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.59 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Under | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 3,168$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 45c | 2,107$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.24 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Over | 59c | 519$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 45c | 452$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 299.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 41c | 295.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 195.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Under | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 41c | 117$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under | 47c | 60.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 45c | 49.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 41.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked Under | 47c | 40.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 45c | 38.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 147.5this page
- Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. South Dakota State JackrabbitsSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits won
- Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-13.5)South Dakota State Jackrabbits won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.