CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d254b63e5dcbc4fd7945083afca0851e137e9ec95f099367b38abf1e6b786e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed Under | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…f1b3backed Over | 49c | 630.11$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…9d33backed Under | 48c | 568.53$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c8…50eabacked Over | 52c | 563.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 34c | 513.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 64c | 403.81$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 63c | 375.48$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 57c | 324.73$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 38c | 270.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 21c | 103.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 83.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 82.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 43c | 77.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 17c | 69.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Under | 61c | 56.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a22…8ce0backed Over | 57c | 42.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Over | 53c | 42.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 39c | 33.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…b510backed Over | 58c | 33.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 32.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 32.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 36c | 31.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 51c | 24.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Over | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 71c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.