Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210e395630faa042a09f4a5702652154357c5082b07445561f80d11d25f88157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 2,657$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.05 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,595$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.04 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 364.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 34c | 252.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 238.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 49c | 103$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 81.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 280 | 40.4%113 W · 167 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 26c | 39.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 34c | 33.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.