CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210fd38f47289e0fea384241051fa5f34f332a75b7040f1e3c1b90c59854ae91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof MIBR Academy, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed MIBR Academy | 54c | 3,113$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.7 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Fake do Biru | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 1,280$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.54 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fake do Biru | 51c | 1,274$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.98 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MIBR Academy | 46c | 1,028$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.31 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 907.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.67 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 626.14$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.46 | 419 | 60.9%255 W · 164 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed MIBR Academy | 57c | 513.31$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MIBR Academy | 33c | 335.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MIBR Academy | 13c | 214.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Fake do Biru | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked MIBR Academy | 15c | 159.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 98.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed MIBR Academy | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked MIBR Academy | 56c | 90.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 59.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed MIBR Academy | 35c | 49.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 43.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed MIBR Academy | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fake do Biru | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…b1b6backed MIBR Academy | 52c | 37.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 33.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 30.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Fake do Biru | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed MIBR Academy | 49c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed MIBR Academy | 48c | 27.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.