Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21295389838750d237adaddc4a7a415cc67de9d7d7e2c1414e1f2e883f6e809e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 3,007$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.83 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,595$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.63 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 65c | 1,238$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Over | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 18c | 796.29$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.36 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 527.68$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 420.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 59c | 276.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 16c | 203.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 80.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 51c | 36.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 36.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 72c | 23.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 78c | 20.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Under | 54c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.