Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21abeae7681e0ad8ab05e76b543a4d5b02474226cfc5cc474be6a03ac13149ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof Hanne Vandewinkel, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5505…30b0backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 3c | 12,200$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 6c | 4,096$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 2,977$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.71 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 1,993$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.06 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 15c | 1,380$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 12c | 1,349$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.86 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 1,289$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 3c | 1,265$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 1c | 1,130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 1,049$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 18c | 1,046$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 738.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 692.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 673.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 16c | 609.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 419.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 390.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 16c | 303.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 6c | 282.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 258.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 241.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 224$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 12c | 180.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…9793backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 103.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 102.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 11c | 102.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…79d2backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Hanne Vandewinkel | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hanne Vandewinkel | 14c | 71.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.