Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Hurghada 6 Men: Mousa Alkotop vs Adam Bajurko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d175dcdba60a4b4da3ac201cb1ac2489b07ac697c5a4f041d68700c2ae87e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mousa Alkotopof Mousa Alkotop, Adam Bajurko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Mousa Alkotop | 70c | 408.68$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mousa Alkotop | 54c | 361.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adam Bajurko | 28c | 356.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Adam Bajurko | 30c | 311.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Adam Bajurko | 25c | 265.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Mousa Alkotop | 75c | 265.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Adam Bajurko | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mousa Alkotop | 71c | 154.3$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Adam Bajurko | 26c | 135.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Adam Bajurko | 40c | 131.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Mousa Alkotop | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adam Bajurko | 36c | 90.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mousa Alkotop | 79c | 72.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Adam Bajurko | 35c | 68.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Mousa Alkotop | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adam Bajurko | 45c | 25.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…b56bbacked Mousa Alkotop | 80c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Hurghada 6 Men: Mousa Alkotop vs Adam Bajurkothis page
- ITF M15 Hurghada 6 Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Mousa Alkotop vs Adam BajurkoYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.