Tennis · resolved market
Gwangju: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21d4c8d81660501904ee15539e1b74f6a11ecf14d6c511c761677eb5e1c60299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- August Holmgrenof Yuta Shimizu, August Holmgren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed August Holmgren | 80c | 1,799$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.41 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed August Holmgren | 70c | 1,404$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.44 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 1,348$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.87 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yuta Shimizu | 29c | 1,326$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yuta Shimizu | 29c | 1,319$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.48 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed August Holmgren | 38c | 1,257$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.48 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…6dd7backed Yuta Shimizu | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Yuta Shimizu | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed August Holmgren | 77c | 950.96$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 22c | 947.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yuta Shimizu | 30c | 910.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.75 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yuta Shimizu | 27c | 811.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yuta Shimizu | 13c | 762.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed August Holmgren | 67c | 731.37$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.26 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren | 63c | 705.6$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed August Holmgren | 66c | 605.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.85 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked August Holmgren | 67c | 585.19$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 559.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed August Holmgren | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yuta Shimizu | 39c | 406.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 383.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yuta Shimizu | 63c | 348.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.97 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 35c | 341.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…0e57backed August Holmgren | 67c | 335.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yuta Shimizu | 21c | 310.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed August Holmgren | 66c | 294$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked August Holmgren | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yuta Shimizu | 47c | 283.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Yuta Shimizu | 24c | 253.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yuta Shimizu | 16c | 237.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yuta Shimizu | 34c | 221.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Yuta Shimizu | 36c | 215.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yuta Shimizu | 20c | 197.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yuta Shimizu | 30c | 188.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…38c2backed August Holmgren | 67c | 175.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 159.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked August Holmgren | 64c | 159.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed August Holmgren | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed August Holmgren | 68c | 145.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yuta Shimizu | 32c | 145.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked August Holmgren | 67c | 130.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…56f1backed August Holmgren | 63c | 124.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked August Holmgren | 65c | 122.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed August Holmgren | 64c | 122.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yuta Shimizu | 19c | 119.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Yuta Shimizu | 27c | 113.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…9112backed Yuta Shimizu | 10c | 112.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed August Holmgren | 68c | 107.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yuta Shimizu | 34c | 98.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed August Holmgren | 67c | 84.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed August Holmgren | 66c | 81.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Yuta Shimizu | 19c | 80.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked August Holmgren | 62c | 75.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed August Holmgren | 74c | 71.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 68.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked August Holmgren | 60c | 66.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 66.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed August Holmgren | 70c | 65.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 62.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 62.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Yuta Shimizu | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Yuta Shimizu | 32c | 58.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…b4aebacked Yuta Shimizu | 28c | 56.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked August Holmgren | 74c | 55.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked August Holmgren | 69c | 54.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…0baebacked Yuta Shimizu | 36c | 54.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…d816backed August Holmgren | 79c | 53.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed August Holmgren | 76c | 51.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yuta Shimizu | 32c | 50.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked August Holmgren | 78c | 50.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 370 | 58.6%217 W · 153 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked August Holmgren | 66c | 50.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yuta Shimizu | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed August Holmgren | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yuta Shimizu | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yuta Shimizu | 35c | 49.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked August Holmgren | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed August Holmgren | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…2239backed Yuta Shimizu | 37c | 44.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed August Holmgren | 69c | 42.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Yuta Shimizu | 34c | 42.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yuta Shimizu | 26c | 40.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked August Holmgren | 54c | 37.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed August Holmgren | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed August Holmgren | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Yuta Shimizu | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked August Holmgren | 60c | 31.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked August Holmgren | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked August Holmgren | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…6e9ebacked August Holmgren | 65c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked August Holmgren | 65c | 29.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed August Holmgren | 69c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed August Holmgren | 74c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked August Holmgren | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…43bebacked August Holmgren | 73c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed August Holmgren | 75c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…e8a1backed August Holmgren | 67c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 85 | 75.3%64 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked August Holmgren | 74c | 17.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked August Holmgren | 63c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgrenthis page
- Shimizu vs. Holmgren: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.