Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Malisheva leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22075a3cfff42691a9881b6e8b847c64aa2d4e5c6fbeba7459ccb22b97daa3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 39c | 1,623$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.96 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 1,288$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.38 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,002$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.68 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 491.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 359.18$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 217.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.01 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 18c | 180.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 26c | 180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 50c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 76c | 52.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Malisheva leading at halftime?this page
- FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: Draw at halftime?No won
- Hibernian FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.