TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
against All authorityof ex-Zero Tenacity, against All authority
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity67c2,676$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.1934559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed against All authority32c926.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.1129340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed against All authority32c846.58$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.396144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ex-Zero Tenacity69c699.98$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9964058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed ex-Zero Tenacity69c689.84$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0645465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed against All authority32c450.55$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7132544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked against All authority35c348.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5735745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed against All authority34c301$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.681,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b98…e230backed against All authority31c275$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked against All authority32c246.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8213350.4%67 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9563…243bbacked against All authority31c211$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed against All authority39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b24…ba5cbacked against All authority34c199$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.343461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed against All authority31c166.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4324840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked against All authority33c142.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4217449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity69c75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7515455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0544563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.